🗳️ Elections
Trump's RCP approval average on Oct 1, 2026?

Trump's RCP approval average on Oct 1, 2026? — Below 38.5%

Live
Resolves Oct 1, 2026Kalshi
Volume-weighted avg
6%
No
94%
No (94%)Yes (6%)
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Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Elections
Vol 24h
$5k
Liquidity
$4k

Market intelligence

Kalshi currently prices this at 6%.

About this market

If Trump's RCP approval average is below 38.5% at exactly 1:00 PM ET on Oct 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

All outcomes · Trump's RCP approval average on Oct 1, 2026?

Trump's RCP approval average on Oct 1, 2026? — 38.8%
36%
Trump's RCP approval average on Oct 1, 2026? — 38.7%
23%
Trump's RCP approval average on Oct 1, 2026? — 38.6%
13%
Trump's RCP approval average on Oct 1, 2026? — 38.9%
12%
Trump's RCP approval average on Oct 1, 2026? — 38.5%
6%
Trump's RCP approval average on Oct 1, 2026? — 39.0%
4%
Trump's RCP approval average on Oct 1, 2026? — 39.1%
3%
Trump's RCP approval average on Oct 1, 2026? — Above 39.1%
1%
Trade this marketLive prices
Avg probability
6%
probability of YES
Kalshi
6%Check
TGWA
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Resolution
Oct 1, 2026
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume$5k
Liquidity$4k
CategoryElections
StatusOpen