🗳️ Elections
Trump's RCP approval average on Oct 15, 2026?
Trump's RCP approval average on Oct 15, 2026? — Above 38.8%
Live
Resolves Oct 15, 2026KalshiVolume-weighted avg
35%
No
65%
No (65%)Yes (35%)
Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Elections
Vol 24h
$45k
Liquidity
$13k
Market intelligence
Kalshi currently prices this at 35%.
About this market
If Trump's RCP approval average is above 38.8% at exactly 1:00 PM ET on Oct 15, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
All outcomes · Trump's RCP approval average on Oct 15, 2026?
Trump's RCP approval average on Oct 15, 2026? — 38.8%
16%
Trump's RCP approval average on Oct 15, 2026? — 38.4%
12%
Trump's RCP approval average on Oct 15, 2026? — 38.7%
10%
Trump's RCP approval average on Oct 15, 2026? — 38.6%
8%
Trump's RCP approval average on Oct 15, 2026? — 38.5%
8%
Trump's RCP approval average on Oct 15, 2026? — 38.3%
4%
Trump's RCP approval average on Oct 15, 2026? — Below 38.2%
3%
Trump's RCP approval average on Oct 15, 2026? — 38.2%
2%
Resolution
Oct 15, 2026
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume$45k
Liquidity$13k
CategoryElections
StatusOpen