🗳️ Elections
Trump's RCP approval average on Oct 16, 2026?
Trump's RCP approval average on Oct 16, 2026? — Below 38.8%
Live
Resolves Oct 16, 2026KalshiVolume-weighted avg
32%
No
68%
No (68%)Yes (32%)
Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Elections
Vol 24h
$14k
Liquidity
$9k
Market intelligence
Kalshi currently prices this at 32%.
About this market
If Trump's RCP approval average is below 38.8% at exactly 1:00 PM ET on Oct 16, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
All outcomes · Trump's RCP approval average on Oct 16, 2026?
Trump's RCP approval average on Oct 16, 2026? — 38.8%
31%
Trump's RCP approval average on Oct 16, 2026? — 38.9%
19%
Trump's RCP approval average on Oct 16, 2026? — 39.0%
10%
Trump's RCP approval average on Oct 16, 2026? — 39.1%
6%
Trump's RCP approval average on Oct 16, 2026? — 39.2%
3%
Trump's RCP approval average on Oct 16, 2026? — 39.4%
2%
Trump's RCP approval average on Oct 16, 2026? — Above 39.4%
2%
Trump's RCP approval average on Oct 16, 2026? — 39.3%
2%
Resolution
Oct 16, 2026
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume$14k
Liquidity$9k
CategoryElections
StatusOpen