🗳️ Elections
Trump's RCP approval average on Oct 6, 2026?

Trump's RCP approval average on Oct 6, 2026? — Above 38.6%

Live
Resolves Oct 6, 2026Kalshi
Volume-weighted avg
4%
No
96%
No (96%)Yes (4%)
Check on Kalshi →
Probability History
Loading...
Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Elections
Vol 24h
$16k
Liquidity
$4k

Market intelligence

Kalshi currently prices this at 4%.

About this market

If Trump's RCP approval average is above 38.6% at exactly 1:00 PM ET on Oct 6, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

All outcomes · Trump's RCP approval average on Oct 6, 2026?

Trump's RCP approval average on Oct 6, 2026? — 38.5%
23%
Trump's RCP approval average on Oct 6, 2026? — 38.3%
19%
Trump's RCP approval average on Oct 6, 2026? — 38.4%
18%
Trump's RCP approval average on Oct 6, 2026? — 38.2%
12%
Trump's RCP approval average on Oct 6, 2026? — 38.6%
11%
Trump's RCP approval average on Oct 6, 2026? — 38.1%
6%
Trump's RCP approval average on Oct 6, 2026? — 38.0%
5%
Trump's RCP approval average on Oct 6, 2026? — Below 38.0%
3%
Trade this marketLive prices
Avg probability
4%
probability of YES
Kalshi
4%Check
TGWA
Create Widget
Resolution
Oct 6, 2026
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume$16k
Liquidity$4k
CategoryElections
StatusOpen