🗳️ Elections
Trump's RCP approval average on Oct 6, 2026?

Trump's RCP approval average on Oct 6, 2026? — Below 38.0%

Live
Resolves Oct 6, 2026Kalshi
Volume-weighted avg
7%
No
93%
No (93%)Yes (7%)
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Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Elections
Vol 24h
$23k
Liquidity
$5k

Market intelligence

Kalshi currently prices this at 7%.

About this market

If Trump's RCP approval average is below 38.0% at exactly 1:00 PM ET on Oct 6, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

All outcomes · Trump's RCP approval average on Oct 6, 2026?

Trump's RCP approval average on Oct 6, 2026? — 38.5%
23%
Trump's RCP approval average on Oct 6, 2026? — 38.3%
19%
Trump's RCP approval average on Oct 6, 2026? — 38.4%
18%
Trump's RCP approval average on Oct 6, 2026? — 38.2%
12%
Trump's RCP approval average on Oct 6, 2026? — 38.6%
11%
Trump's RCP approval average on Oct 6, 2026? — Above 38.6%
8%
Trump's RCP approval average on Oct 6, 2026? — 38.1%
6%
Trump's RCP approval average on Oct 6, 2026? — 38.0%
5%
Trade this marketLive prices
Avg probability
7%
probability of YES
Kalshi
7%Check
TGWA
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Resolution
Oct 6, 2026
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume$23k
Liquidity$5k
CategoryElections
StatusOpen