🗳️ Elections
Which countries will Trump make new trade deals with before 2027?
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Russia" before 2027?
Live
Resolves Jan 1, 2027PolymarketVolume-weighted avg
10%
No
90%
No (90%)Yes (10%)
Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Elections
Vol 24h
$15
Liquidity
$12k
Market intelligence
Polymarket currently prices this at 10%. Polymarket has moved up 3pp over the past 7 days.
About this market
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a free trade agreement with the specified country or entity becomes law in the United States by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This includes both agreements that become law through Senate ratification and Presidential approval, or through the enactment of a Congressional-Executive Agreement signed into law by the President. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
All outcomes · Which countries will Trump make new trade deals with before 2027?
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Indonesia" before 2027?
13%
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Mexico" before 2027?
13%
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Israel" before 2027?
12%
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Vietnam" before 2027?
11%
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Canada" before 2027?
11%
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "United Kingdom" before 2027?
11%
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Japan" before 2027?
10%
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Taiwan" before 2027?
10%
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "India" before 2027?
10%
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Australia" before 2027?
9%
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Pakistan" before 2027?
9%
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "South Africa" before 2027?
9%
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "South Korea" before 2027?
9%
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "European Union" before 2027?
7%
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Brazil" before 2027?
6%
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Argentina" before 2027?
6%
Resolution
Jan 1, 2027
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume$15
Liquidity$12k
CategoryElections
StatusOpen