🗳️ Elections
US gas prices on Election Day
US gas prices on Election Day — Above 4.25
Live
Resolves Nov 3, 2026KalshiVolume-weighted avg
35%
No
65%
No (65%)Yes (35%)
Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Elections
Vol 24h
$586
Liquidity
$23k
Market intelligence
Kalshi currently prices this at 35%. Kalshi has moved up 4pp over the past 7 days.
About this market
If average regular gas prices for the United States are strictly greater than $4.25 on Nov 3, 2026 according to AAA, then the market resolves to Yes.
All outcomes · US gas prices on Election Day
US gas prices on Election Day — Above 2.50
99%
US gas prices on Election Day — Above 2.75
99%
US gas prices on Election Day — Above 3.00
99%
US gas prices on Election Day — Above 3.50
99%
US gas prices on Election Day — Above 3.75
99%
US gas prices on Election Day — Above 4.00
98%
US gas prices on Election Day — Above 3.25
98%
US gas prices on Election Day — Above 4.05
95%
US gas prices on Election Day — Above 4.10
95%
US gas prices on Election Day — Above 4.15
66%
US gas prices on Election Day — Above 4.30
66%
US gas prices on Election Day — Above 4.35
66%
US gas prices on Election Day — Above 4.20
53%
US gas prices on Election Day — Above 4.50
4%
US gas prices on Election Day — Above 4.75
1%
US gas prices on Election Day — Above 5.00
1%
Resolution
Nov 3, 2026
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume$586
Liquidity$23k
CategoryElections
StatusOpen