🗳️ Elections

Vance announces he won't run for President in 2028 this year?

Live
Resolves Jan 1, 2027Polymarket
Volume-weighted avg
6%
No
94%
No (94%)Yes (6%)
Probability History
Loading...
Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Elections
Vol 24h
—
Liquidity
$13k

Market intelligence

Polymarket currently prices this at 6%.

About this market

This market will resolve to “Yes” if JD Vance announces that he will not run for President of the United States in the 2028 United States Presidential election between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A qualifying announcement must definitively indicate that Vance will not run for President in 2028, or will never run for President. Statements that Vance has not made a decision on whether to run will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from JD Vance or his official representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.

Related Markets

Trade this marketLive prices
Avg probability
6%
probability of YES
Polymarket
TGWA
Resolution
Jan 1, 2027
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume—
Liquidity$13k
CategoryElections
StatusOpen