🗳️ Elections
What countries will Trump say in October?

What countries will Trump say in October? — South Africa / South African

Live
Resolves Nov 1, 2026Kalshi
Volume-weighted avg
38%
No
62%
No (62%)Yes (38%)
Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Elections
Vol 24h
—
Liquidity
$571

Market intelligence

Kalshi currently prices this at 38%. Kalshi has moved down 8pp over the past 7 days.

About this market

If South Africa / South African, or a plural or possessive form of South Africa / South African, is stated by Donald Trump after October 1, 2026 at 10:00am ET and before Nov 1, 2026 at 12:00am ET, then the market resolves to Yes.

All outcomes · What countries will Trump say in October?

Trade this marketLive prices
Avg probability
38%
probability of YES
Kalshi
TGWA
Resolution
Nov 1, 2026
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume—
Liquidity$571
CategoryElections
StatusOpen