🗳️ Elections
What will be the 51st state in Trump's term?

What will be the 51st state in Trump's term? — Venezuela

Live
Resolves Jan 20, 2029Kalshi
Volume-weighted avg
3%
No
97%
No (97%)Yes (3%)
Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Elections
Vol 24h
$1k
Liquidity
$103k

Market intelligence

Kalshi currently prices this at 3%. Kalshi has moved up 1pp over the past 7 days.

About this market

If the 51st state is any part of Venezuela before Jan 20, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.

All outcomes · What will be the 51st state in Trump's term?

Trade this marketLive prices
Avg probability
3%
probability of YES
Kalshi
TGWA
Resolution
Jan 20, 2029
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume$1k
Liquidity$103k
CategoryElections
StatusOpen