🗳️ Elections
When will the House pass a reconciliation bill?

When will the House pass a reconciliation bill? — Before Dec 1, 2026

Live
Resolves Dec 1, 2026Kalshi
Volume-weighted avg
11%
No
89%
No (89%)Yes (11%)
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Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Elections
Vol 24h
—
Liquidity
$2k

Market intelligence

Kalshi currently prices this at 11%. Kalshi has moved down 1pp over the past 7 days.

About this market

If a reconciliation bill passes the House before December 01, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

All outcomes · When will the House pass a reconciliation bill?

When will the House pass a reconciliation bill? — Before Jan 1, 2027
26%
When will the House pass a reconciliation bill? — Before Nov 1, 2026
1%
When will the House pass a reconciliation bill? — Before Oct 1, 2026
1%
Trade this marketLive prices
Avg probability
11%
probability of YES
Kalshi
11%Check
TGWA
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Resolution
Dec 1, 2026
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume—
Liquidity$2k
CategoryElections
StatusOpen