🗳️ Elections
When will the House pass a reconciliation bill?

When will the House pass a reconciliation bill? — Before Oct 1, 2026

Live
Resolves Oct 1, 2026Kalshi
Volume-weighted avg
1%
No
99%
No (99%)Yes (1%)
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Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Elections
Vol 24h
—
Liquidity
$3k

Market intelligence

Kalshi currently prices this at 1%. Kalshi has moved down 2pp over the past 7 days.

About this market

If a reconciliation bill passes the House before October 01, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

All outcomes · When will the House pass a reconciliation bill?

When will the House pass a reconciliation bill? — Before Jan 1, 2027
26%
When will the House pass a reconciliation bill? — Before Dec 1, 2026
11%
When will the House pass a reconciliation bill? — Before Nov 1, 2026
1%
Trade this marketLive prices
Avg probability
1%
probability of YES
Kalshi
1%Check
TGWA
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Resolution
Oct 1, 2026
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume—
Liquidity$3k
CategoryElections
StatusOpen