🗳️ Elections
When will the U.S. and Iran hold a diplomatic meeting?

When will the U.S. and Iran hold a diplomatic meeting? — Before Dec 1, 2026

Live
Resolves Dec 1, 2026Kalshi
Volume-weighted avg
15%
No
85%
No (85%)Yes (15%)
Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Elections
Vol 24h
$4k
Liquidity
$14k

Market intelligence

Kalshi currently prices this at 15%. Kalshi has moved down 7pp over the past 7 days.

About this market

If the United States and Iran hold a senior-level diplomatic meeting after Issuance and before Dec 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

All outcomes · When will the U.S. and Iran hold a diplomatic meeting?

Trade this marketLive prices
Avg probability
15%
probability of YES
Kalshi
TGWA
Resolution
Dec 1, 2026
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume$4k
Liquidity$14k
CategoryElections
StatusOpen