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Which country will be the next to send humans to the Moon?

Which country will be the next to send humans to the Moon? — Russia

Live
Resolves Jan 1, 2031Kalshi
Volume-weighted avg
2%
No
98%
No (98%)Yes (2%)
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Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Other
Vol 24h
$4k
Liquidity
$10k

Market intelligence

Kalshi currently prices this at 2%.

About this market

If Russia is the first country to launch a manned mission to the Moon before Jan 1, 2031, then the market resolves to Yes.

All outcomes · Which country will be the next to send humans to the Moon?

Which country will be the next to send humans to the Moon? — United States
57%
Which country will be the next to send humans to the Moon? — China
41%
Which country will be the next to send humans to the Moon? — European Space Agency
1%
Which country will be the next to send humans to the Moon? — India
1%
Trade this marketLive prices
Avg probability
2%
probability of YES
Kalshi
2%Check
TGWA
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Resolution
Jan 1, 2031
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume$4k
Liquidity$10k
CategoryOther
StatusOpen