Predictboard ·
🎯 Other
Which country will be the next to send humans to the Moon?

Which country will be the next to send humans to the Moon? — United States

Live
Resolves Jan 1, 2031Kalshi
Volume-weighted avg
57%
No
43%
No (43%)Yes (57%)
Check on Kalshi →
Probability History
Loading...
Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Other
Vol 24h
$287
Liquidity
$34k

Market intelligence

Kalshi currently prices this at 57%. Kalshi has moved down 1pp over the past 7 days.

About this market

If United States is the first country to launch a manned mission to the Moon before Jan 1, 2031, then the market resolves to Yes.

All outcomes · Which country will be the next to send humans to the Moon?

Which country will be the next to send humans to the Moon? — China
41%
Which country will be the next to send humans to the Moon? — Russia
2%
Which country will be the next to send humans to the Moon? — European Space Agency
1%
Which country will be the next to send humans to the Moon? — India
1%
Trade this marketLive prices
Avg probability
57%
probability of YES
Kalshi
57%Check
TGWA
Create Widget
Resolution
Jan 1, 2031
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume$287
Liquidity$34k
CategoryOther
StatusOpen