🗳️ Elections
Who will be charged with a federal crime in 2026?
Who will be charged with a federal crime in 2026? — Leon Black
Live
Resolves Jan 1, 2027KalshiVolume-weighted avg
5%
No
95%
No (95%)Yes (5%)
Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Elections
Vol 24h
—
Liquidity
$177
Market intelligence
Kalshi currently prices this at 5%.
About this market
If Leon Black has been formally charged with a federal crime after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
All outcomes · Who will be charged with a federal crime in 2026?
Who will be charged with a federal crime in 2026? — Ilhan Omar
40%
Who will be charged with a federal crime in 2026? — Corey Lewandowski
29%
Who will be charged with a federal crime in 2026? — Cassidy Hutchinson
27%
Who will be charged with a federal crime in 2026? — Larry Krasner
23%
Who will be charged with a federal crime in 2026? — John Brennan
21%
Who will be charged with a federal crime in 2026? — Anthony Fauci
15%
Who will be charged with a federal crime in 2026? — Dan J. Sullivan
15%
Who will be charged with a federal crime in 2026? — Fani Willis
13%
Who will be charged with a federal crime in 2026? — Gustavo Petro
11%
Who will be charged with a federal crime in 2026? — Jack Smith
10%
Who will be charged with a federal crime in 2026? — Lisa Cook
10%
Who will be charged with a federal crime in 2026? — Jennifer Siebel Newsom
10%
Who will be charged with a federal crime in 2026? — Peter Strzok
10%
Who will be charged with a federal crime in 2026? — Keith Ellison
10%
Who will be charged with a federal crime in 2026? — James Clapper
10%
Who will be charged with a federal crime in 2026? — Hunter Biden
9%
Who will be charged with a federal crime in 2026? — Gavin Newsom
9%
Who will be charged with a federal crime in 2026? — Andrew Weissmann
9%
Who will be charged with a federal crime in 2026? — Tim Walz
9%
Who will be charged with a federal crime in 2026? — Chris Krebs
8%
Who will be charged with a federal crime in 2026? — E. Jean Carroll
7%
Who will be charged with a federal crime in 2026? — Kimberly Guilfoyle
7%
Who will be charged with a federal crime in 2026? — Alvin Bragg
7%
Who will be charged with a federal crime in 2026? — Lisa Monaco
7%
Who will be charged with a federal crime in 2026? — Pam Bondi
7%
Who will be charged with a federal crime in 2026? — Letitia James
6%
Who will be charged with a federal crime in 2026? — Jacob Frey
6%
Who will be charged with a federal crime in 2026? — Mark Milley
6%
Who will be charged with a federal crime in 2026? — Adam Schiff
6%
Who will be charged with a federal crime in 2026? — Mark Kelly
6%
Resolution
Jan 1, 2027
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume—
Liquidity$177
CategoryElections
StatusOpen