🗳️ Elections
Who will get Israel's first mandate to form a government?

Who will get Israel's first mandate to form a government? — Benjamin Netanyahu

Live
Resolves Jan 1, 2027Kalshi
Volume-weighted avg
33%
No
67%
No (67%)Yes (33%)
Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Elections
Vol 24h
$17k
Liquidity
$7k

Market intelligence

Kalshi currently prices this at 33%. Kalshi has moved down 4pp over the past 7 days.

About this market

If the President of Israel gives Benjamin Netanyahu the first mandate to form a government following the 2026 Knesset election after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

All outcomes · Who will get Israel's first mandate to form a government?

Trade this marketLive prices
Avg probability
33%
probability of YES
Kalshi
TGWA
Resolution
Jan 1, 2027
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume$17k
Liquidity$7k
CategoryElections
StatusOpen