🗳️ Elections
Who will leave Trump's Cabinet next?
Who will leave Trump's Cabinet next? — Pete Hegseth
Live
Resolves Jan 20, 2029KalshiVolume-weighted avg
41%
No
59%
No (59%)Yes (41%)
Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Elections
Vol 24h
$16k
Liquidity
$48k
Market intelligence
Kalshi currently prices this at 41%. Kalshi has moved up 17pp over the past 7 days.
About this market
If Pete Hegseth is the first member of the Cabinet of Donald Trump to leave or announce they will leave (such as by quitting, being fired, or being impeached) after May 22, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
All outcomes · Who will leave Trump's Cabinet next?
Who will leave Trump's Cabinet next? — Susie Wiles
24%
Who will leave Trump's Cabinet next? — Howard Lutnick
8%
Who will leave Trump's Cabinet next? — Doug Burgum
6%
Who will leave Trump's Cabinet next? — Markwayne Mullin
6%
Who will leave Trump's Cabinet next? — Marco Rubio
5%
Who will leave Trump's Cabinet next? — Doug Collins
5%
Who will leave Trump's Cabinet next? — Mike Waltz
4%
Who will leave Trump's Cabinet next? — Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
3%
Who will leave Trump's Cabinet next? — Scott Bessent
3%
Who will leave Trump's Cabinet next? — Brooke Rollins
3%
Who will leave Trump's Cabinet next? — Kelly Loeffler
2%
Who will leave Trump's Cabinet next? — Todd Blanche
2%
Who will leave Trump's Cabinet next? — Lee Zeldin
2%
Who will leave Trump's Cabinet next? — Sean Duffy
2%
Who will leave Trump's Cabinet next? — Linda McMahon
2%
Who will leave Trump's Cabinet next? — John Ratcliffe
2%
Who will leave Trump's Cabinet next? — Michael Kratsios
2%
Who will leave Trump's Cabinet next? — Scott Turner
2%
Who will leave Trump's Cabinet next? — Jamieson Greer
2%
Who will leave Trump's Cabinet next? — Jay Clayton
2%
Who will leave Trump's Cabinet next? — Keith Sonderling
2%
Who will leave Trump's Cabinet next? — Christopher Phelan
1%
Who will leave Trump's Cabinet next? — Chris Wright
1%
Who will leave Trump's Cabinet next? — Russell Vought
1%
Resolution
Jan 20, 2029
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume$16k
Liquidity$48k
CategoryElections
StatusOpen