🗳️ Elections
Who will run for the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Who will run for the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? — J.D. Vance

Live
Resolves Jan 1, 2028Kalshi
Volume-weighted avg
78%
No
22%
No (22%)Yes (78%)
Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Elections
Vol 24h
$5k
Liquidity
$20k

Market intelligence

Kalshi currently prices this at 78%. Kalshi has moved up 1pp over the past 7 days.

About this market

If J.D. Vance announces a presidential campaign to contest the presidential nomination of the Republican party for the 2028 U.S. presidential election before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.

All outcomes · Who will run for the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Who will run for the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? — Ted Cruz
76%
Who will run for the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? — Ron DeSantis
59%
Who will run for the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? — Marco Rubio
52%
Who will run for the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? — Rand Paul
47%
Who will run for the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? — Thomas Massie
40%
Who will run for the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? — Chris Christie
39%
Who will run for the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? — Brian Kemp
36%
Who will run for the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? — Glenn Youngkin
34%
Who will run for the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? — Pete Hegseth
31%
Who will run for the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? — Doug Burgum
30%
Who will run for the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? — Gregory Bovino
29%
Who will run for the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? — Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
26%
Who will run for the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? — Tulsi Gabbard
26%
Who will run for the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? — Vivek Ramaswamy
26%
Who will run for the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? — Sarah Huckabee Sanders
23%
Who will run for the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? — Tucker Carlson
23%
Who will run for the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? — John McEntee
22%
Who will run for the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? — Steve Bannon
22%
Who will run for the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? — Nikki Haley
21%
Who will run for the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? — Donald J. Trump Jr.
19%
Who will run for the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? — Marjorie Taylor Greene
19%
Who will run for the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? — Josh Hawley
17%
Who will run for the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? — Greg Abbott
17%
Who will run for the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? — Tim Scott
16%
Who will run for the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? — Byron Donalds
16%
Who will run for the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? — Elise Stefanik
15%
Who will run for the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? — John Kennedy
15%
Who will run for the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? — Spencer Pratt
13%
Who will run for the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? — Jeff Bezos
13%
Who will run for the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? — Erika Kirk
12%
Trade this marketLive prices
Avg probability
78%
probability of YES
Kalshi
TGWA
Resolution
Jan 1, 2028
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume$5k
Liquidity$20k
CategoryElections
StatusOpen