🗳️ Elections
Who will run for the Democratic presidential nomination in 2028?

Who will run for the Democratic presidential nomination in 2028? — Josh Shapiro

Live
Resolves Jan 1, 2028Kalshi
Volume-weighted avg
75%
No
25%
No (25%)Yes (75%)
Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Elections
Vol 24h
—
Liquidity
$3k

Market intelligence

Kalshi currently prices this at 75%. Kalshi has moved up 2pp over the past 7 days.

About this market

If Josh Shapiro announces a presidential campaign to contest the presidential nomination of the Democratic party for the 2028 U.S. presidential election before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.

All outcomes · Who will run for the Democratic presidential nomination in 2028?

Who will run for the Democratic presidential nomination in 2028? — Pete Buttigieg
90%
Who will run for the Democratic presidential nomination in 2028? — Andy Beshear
90%
Who will run for the Democratic presidential nomination in 2028? — Cory Booker
79%
Who will run for the Democratic presidential nomination in 2028? — Rahm Emanuel
78%
Who will run for the Democratic presidential nomination in 2028? — Gavin Newsom
77%
Who will run for the Democratic presidential nomination in 2028? — Ro Khanna
75%
Who will run for the Democratic presidential nomination in 2028? — J.B. Pritzker
75%
Who will run for the Democratic presidential nomination in 2028? — Wes Moore
71%
Who will run for the Democratic presidential nomination in 2028? — Jon Ossoff
71%
Who will run for the Democratic presidential nomination in 2028? — Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
65%
Who will run for the Democratic presidential nomination in 2028? — Mark Kelly
64%
Who will run for the Democratic presidential nomination in 2028? — Kamala Harris
60%
Who will run for the Democratic presidential nomination in 2028? — Chris Murphy
60%
Who will run for the Democratic presidential nomination in 2028? — Mitch Landrieu
60%
Who will run for the Democratic presidential nomination in 2028? — Chris Van Hollen
41%
Who will run for the Democratic presidential nomination in 2028? — Jared Polis
39%
Who will run for the Democratic presidential nomination in 2028? — Elissa Slotkin
34%
Who will run for the Democratic presidential nomination in 2028? — Raphael Warnock
33%
Who will run for the Democratic presidential nomination in 2028? — Ruben Gallego
32%
Who will run for the Democratic presidential nomination in 2028? — Shawn Fain
31%
Who will run for the Democratic presidential nomination in 2028? — Gretchen Whitmer
27%
Who will run for the Democratic presidential nomination in 2028? — Mikie Sherrill
25%
Who will run for the Democratic presidential nomination in 2028? — Phil Murphy
25%
Who will run for the Democratic presidential nomination in 2028? — Dean Phillips
20%
Who will run for the Democratic presidential nomination in 2028? — Tim Walz
19%
Who will run for the Democratic presidential nomination in 2028? — Roy Cooper
19%
Who will run for the Democratic presidential nomination in 2028? — Stephen A. Smith
19%
Who will run for the Democratic presidential nomination in 2028? — Abigail Spanberger
18%
Who will run for the Democratic presidential nomination in 2028? — Jon Stewart
17%
Who will run for the Democratic presidential nomination in 2028? — James Talarico
15%
Trade this marketLive prices
Avg probability
75%
probability of YES
Kalshi
TGWA
Resolution
Jan 1, 2028
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume—
Liquidity$3k
CategoryElections
StatusOpen