🎯 Other
Will 2026 be the hottest year ever?

Will 2026 be the hottest year ever? — Hottest

Live
Resolves Jan 1, 2027Kalshi
Volume-weighted avg
61%
No
39%
No (39%)Yes (61%)
Check on Kalshi →
Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Other
Vol 24h
$5k
Liquidity
$119k

Market intelligence

Kalshi currently prices this at 61%. Kalshi has moved down 1pp over the past 7 days.

About this market

If the unsmoothed Land-Ocean Temperature Index value for 2026 reported by NASA’s Goddard Institute for Space Studies (GISS) is above the 2025 value and 1.28 degrees Celsius, then the market resolves to Yes.

All outcomes · Will 2026 be the hottest year ever?

Will 2026 be the hottest year ever? — Hottest
69%
Trade this marketLive prices
Avg probability
61%
probability of YES
Kalshi
61%Check
TGWA
Create Widget
Resolution
Jan 1, 2027
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume$5k
Liquidity$119k
CategoryOther
StatusOpen