🎯 Other
Will 2026 be the hottest year ever?

Will 2026 be the hottest year ever? — Hottest

Live
Resolves Jan 1, 2027Kalshi
Volume-weighted avg
69%
No
31%
No (31%)Yes (69%)
Check on Kalshi →
Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Other
Vol 24h
$614
Liquidity
$4k

Market intelligence

Kalshi currently prices this at 69%. Kalshi has moved down 1pp over the past 7 days.

About this market

If the unsmoothed Land-Ocean Temperature Index value for 2026 reported by NASA’s Goddard Institute for Space Studies (GISS) is above 2025 value and 1.28 degrees Celsius, then the market resolves to Yes.

All outcomes · Will 2026 be the hottest year ever?

Will 2026 be the hottest year ever? — Hottest
63%
Trade this marketLive prices
Avg probability
69%
probability of YES
Kalshi
69%Check
TGWA
Create Widget
Resolution
Jan 1, 2027
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume$614
Liquidity$4k
CategoryOther
StatusOpen