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🗳️ Elections
Will a cabinet member be impeached?

Will a cabinet member be impeached? — Before Jul 1, 2027

Live
Resolves Jul 1, 2027Kalshi
Volume-weighted avg
70%
No
30%
No (30%)Yes (70%)
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Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Elections
Vol 24h
$15
Liquidity
$3k

Market intelligence

Kalshi currently prices this at 70%. Kalshi has moved up 14pp over the past 7 days.

About this market

If a member of the cabinet is impeached by the U.S. House of Representatives before Jul 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

All outcomes · Will a cabinet member be impeached?

Will a cabinet member be impeached? — Before Jan 20, 2029
91%
Will a cabinet member be impeached? — Before Jan 1, 2028
85%
Will a cabinet member be impeached? — Before Oct 1, 2027
81%
Will a cabinet member be impeached? — Before Apr 1, 2027
71%
Will a cabinet member be impeached? — Before Jan 1, 2027
39%
Trade this marketLive prices
Avg probability
70%
probability of YES
Kalshi
70%Check
TGWA
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Resolution
Jul 1, 2027
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume$15
Liquidity$3k
CategoryElections
StatusOpen