🗳️ Elections
Will Americans receive tariff stimulus checks?

Will Americans receive tariff stimulus checks? — Before 2027

Live
Resolves Jan 1, 2027Kalshi
Volume-weighted avg
5%
No
95%
No (95%)Yes (5%)
Check on Kalshi →
Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Elections
Vol 24h
$2k
Liquidity
$433k

Market intelligence

Kalshi currently prices this at 5%. Kalshi has moved up 1pp over the past 7 days.

About this market

If at least one million Americans have received payments of at least $1,000 directly attributable to tariff revenue is reported by any of the Source Agencies before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

Trade this marketLive prices
Avg probability
5%
probability of YES
Kalshi
5%Check
TGWA
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Resolution
Jan 1, 2027
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume$2k
Liquidity$433k
CategoryElections
StatusOpen