🗳️ Elections
Will Americans receive tariff stimulus checks?
Will Americans receive tariff stimulus checks? — Before 2027
Live
Resolves Jan 1, 2027KalshiVolume-weighted avg
2%
No
98%
No (98%)Yes (2%)
Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Elections
Vol 24h
$12k
Liquidity
$496k
Market intelligence
Kalshi currently prices this at 2%. Kalshi has moved down 2pp over the past 7 days.
About this market
If at least one million Americans have received payments of at least $1,000 directly attributable to tariff revenue is reported by any of the Source Agencies before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Resolution
Jan 1, 2027
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume$12k
Liquidity$496k
CategoryElections
StatusOpen