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🗳️ Elections

Will another country leave OPEC in 2026?

Live
Resolves Jan 1, 2027Kalshi
Volume-weighted avg
8%
No
92%
No (92%)Yes (8%)
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Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Elections
Vol 24h
$204
Liquidity
$5k

Market intelligence

Kalshi currently prices this at 8%. Kalshi has moved down 3pp over the past 7 days.

About this market

If any member state of OPEC announces they are leaving the organization before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

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Trade this marketLive prices
Avg probability
8%
probability of YES
Kalshi
8%Check
TGWA
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Resolution
Jan 1, 2027
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume$204
Liquidity$5k
CategoryElections
StatusOpen