🗳️ Elections

Will another country leave OPEC in 2026?

Live
Resolves Jan 1, 2027Kalshi
Volume-weighted avg
23%
No
77%
No (77%)Yes (23%)
Check on Kalshi →
Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Elections
Vol 24h
$211
Liquidity
$4k

Market intelligence

Kalshi currently prices this at 23%. Kalshi has moved down 9pp over the past 7 days.

About this market

If any member state of OPEC announces they are leaving the organization before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

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Trade this marketLive prices
Avg probability
23%
probability of YES
Kalshi
23%Check
TGWA
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Resolution
Jan 1, 2027
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume$211
Liquidity$4k
CategoryElections
StatusOpen