Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2029?

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Resolves Jan 1, 2030Polymarket

Volume-weighted avg

22%

78%

No (78%)Yes (22%)

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Probability History

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Status

Open

Market intelligence

Polymarket currently prices this at 22%.

About this market

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic announces that it will file for bankruptcy or has filed for bankruptcy of any variety by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. An announcement will suffice for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of if or when the actual filing occurs. The announcement must be made through any of their official or verified channels, as a recorded or written statement by their CEO, legal representation, or other individual or team which officially represents Anthropic. A definitive consensus of credible reporting may also be used.