📊 Macro

Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?

Live
Resolves Jan 1, 2028Polymarket
Volume-weighted avg
94%
No
6%
No (6%)Yes (94%)
Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Macro
Vol 24h
$304
Liquidity
$44k

Market intelligence

Polymarket currently prices this at 94%.

About this market

This market will resolve to "Anthropic" if Anthropic completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before OpenAI completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources. This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources. This market will resolve 50-50 if: - Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET; - Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or - By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded. The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange. The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.

Related Markets

Trade this marketLive prices
Avg probability
94%
probability of YES
Polymarket
TGWA
Resolution
Jan 1, 2028
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume$304
Liquidity$44k
CategoryMacro
StatusOpen