📊 Macro
How much will Anthropic raise in its IPO?

Will Anthropic raise between $65B and $75B in its IPO?

Live
Resolves Jan 1, 2028Polymarket
Volume-weighted avg
5%
No
95%
No (95%)Yes (5%)
Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Macro
Vol 24h
$741
Liquidity
$11k

Market intelligence

Polymarket currently prices this at 5%. Polymarket has moved up 3pp over the past 7 days.

About this market

This market will resolve according to the total gross proceeds raised by Anthropic in its initial public offering (IPO) at the time of pricing. The amount raised is defined as the aggregate dollar value of shares sold at the final offering price at the time of IPO pricing, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission. Shares sold pursuant to any overallotment option (greenshoe) will not be considered. Secondary sales of existing shares by current shareholders will be included only to the extent that they are part of the IPO offering at pricing and reflected in the total gross proceeds. Private secondary transactions conducted outside of the IPO will not be considered. Shares sold in any private placement concurrent with the IPO will not be considered. If the total proceeds fall exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range. If Anthropic does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

All outcomes · How much will Anthropic raise in its IPO?

Trade this marketLive prices
Avg probability
5%
probability of YES
Polymarket
TGWA
Resolution
Jan 1, 2028
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume$741
Liquidity$11k
CategoryMacro
StatusOpen