Predictboard ·
🗳️ Elections

Will any independent or 3rd party candidate win a House or Senate race in 2026?

Live
Resolves Nov 3, 2027Kalshi
Volume-weighted avg
56%
No
44%
No (44%)Yes (56%)
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Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Elections
Vol 24h
$430
Liquidity
$3k

Market intelligence

Kalshi currently prices this at 56%. Kalshi has moved up 17pp over the past 7 days.

About this market

If any independent or third-party candidate wins an election for the U.S. House of Representatives or the U.S. Senate in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

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Trade this marketLive prices
Avg probability
56%
probability of YES
Kalshi
56%Check
TGWA
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Resolution
Nov 3, 2027
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume$430
Liquidity$3k
CategoryElections
StatusOpen