🗳️ Elections

Will any state submit ballot-mail data to USPS?

Live
Resolves Nov 3, 2026Kalshi
Volume-weighted avg
21%
No
79%
No (79%)Yes (21%)
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Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Elections
Vol 24h
$9
Liquidity
$406

Market intelligence

Kalshi currently prices this at 21%. Kalshi has moved down 3pp over the past 7 days.

About this market

If a completed submission by any of the 50 states of federal ballot-mail data through the USPS Federal Ballot Mail Portal is confirmed by any of the Source Agencies after Issuance and before Nov 3, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

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Trade this marketLive prices
Avg probability
21%
probability of YES
Kalshi
21%Check
TGWA
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Resolution
Nov 3, 2026
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume$9
Liquidity$406
CategoryElections
StatusOpen