🗳️ Elections

Will USPS perform mandatory ballot-mail verification?

Live

Resolves Nov 3, 2026Kalshi

Volume-weighted avg

92%

No (92%)Yes (8%)

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Probability History

Market snapshot

Status

Open

Market intelligence

Kalshi currently prices this at 8%. Kalshi has moved down 12pp over the past 7 days.

About this market

If USPS mandatory pre-acceptance verification under DMM 705.24.5 of at least one outbound federal ballot mailing for the November 3 election is confirmed by any of the Source Agencies after Issuance and before Nov 3, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Elections

21%

Will Nevada vote to require photo ID and mail-voter verification?

Elections

87%

Will Maryland Question 3 pass?

Elections

90%

Will Ireland announce a reunification referendum?

Elections

24%

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