🗳️ Elections

Will Ireland announce a reunification referendum?

Live
Resolves Jan 1, 2030Kalshi
Volume-weighted avg
24%
No
76%
No (76%)Yes (24%)
Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Elections
Vol 24h
Liquidity
$2k

Market intelligence

Kalshi currently prices this at 24%.

About this market

If the Republic of Ireland agrees to or announces a formal government decision to hold a national referendum in the Republic of Ireland on Irish reunification before Jan 1, 2030, then the market resolves to Yes.

Related Markets

Trade this marketLive prices
Avg probability
24%
probability of YES
Kalshi
TGWA
Resolution
Jan 1, 2030
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume
Liquidity$2k
CategoryElections
StatusOpen