🗳️ Elections
Will Northern Ireland announce a reunification referendum?
Live
Resolves Jan 1, 2030KalshiVolume-weighted avg
10%
No
90%
No (90%)Yes (10%)
Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Elections
Vol 24h
$12
Liquidity
$1k
Market intelligence
Kalshi currently prices this at 10%. Kalshi has moved down 6pp over the past 7 days.
About this market
If Northern Ireland agrees to or announces a formal decision by the UK Secretary of State for Northern Ireland to hold a border poll on Irish reunification before Jan 1, 2030, then the market resolves to Yes.
Resolution
Jan 1, 2030
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume$12
Liquidity$1k
CategoryElections
StatusOpen