📊 Macro
Largest Company end of December 2026?
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
Live
Resolves Jan 1, 2027PolymarketVolume-weighted avg
61%
No
39%
No (39%)Yes (61%)
Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Macro
Vol 24h
$44k
Liquidity
$51k
Market intelligence
Polymarket currently prices this at 61%. Polymarket has moved up 27pp over the past 7 days.
About this market
This market will resolve to the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31, 2026, as of market close. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
All outcomes · Largest Company end of December 2026?
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
39%
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
2%
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
1%
Will SpaceX be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
0%
Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
0%
Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
0%
Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
0%
Resolution
Jan 1, 2027
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume$44k
Liquidity$51k
CategoryMacro
StatusOpen