🗳️ Elections

Will California recognize Jewish identity as an ethnicity?

Live
Resolves Oct 1, 2026Kalshi
Volume-weighted avg
6%
No
94%
No (94%)Yes (6%)
Check on Kalshi →
Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Elections
Vol 24h
—
Liquidity
$12k

Market intelligence

Kalshi currently prices this at 6%. Kalshi has moved up 3pp over the past 7 days.

About this market

If legislation requiring California state agencies that collect ancestry or ethnicity data to provide a separate category for Jewish ancestry or ethnicity is enacted in California before Oct 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

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Avg probability
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probability of YES
Kalshi
6%Check
TGWA
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Resolution
Oct 1, 2026
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume—
Liquidity$12k
CategoryElections
StatusOpen