🗳️ Elections
Will California start laying high-speed rail track in 2026?
Live
Resolves Jan 1, 2027KalshiVolume-weighted avg
55%
No
45%
No (45%)Yes (55%)
Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Elections
Vol 24h
$84
Liquidity
$9k
Market intelligence
Kalshi currently prices this at 55%. Kalshi has moved down 5pp over the past 7 days.
About this market
If the California High-Speed Rail Authority announces that permanent mainline track installation on the Central Valley high-speed rail guideway has physically begun (rail laid on the running alignment, not materials staging, railhead or yard trackwork, or a declared "track-laying phase") before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Resolution
Jan 1, 2027
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume$84
Liquidity$9k
CategoryElections
StatusOpen