🗳️ Elections

Will California start laying high-speed rail track in 2026?

Live
Resolves Jan 1, 2027Kalshi
Volume-weighted avg
60%
No
40%
No (40%)Yes (60%)
Probability History
Loading...
Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Elections
Vol 24h
$24
Liquidity
$5k

Market intelligence

Kalshi currently prices this at 60%.

About this market

If the California High-Speed Rail Authority announces that permanent mainline track installation on the Central Valley high-speed rail guideway has physically begun (rail laid on the running alignment, not materials staging, railhead or yard trackwork, or a declared "track-laying phase") before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

Related Markets

Trade this marketLive prices
Avg probability
60%
probability of YES
Kalshi
TGWA
Resolution
Jan 1, 2027
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume$24
Liquidity$5k
CategoryElections
StatusOpen