Will Chris Van Hollen announce a presidential run? — Before Apr 1, 2027

Live

Resolves Apr 1, 2027Kalshi

Volume-weighted avg

33%

67%

No (67%)Yes (33%)

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Probability History

Market snapshot

Status

Open

Market intelligence

Kalshi currently prices this at 33%.

About this market

If Chris Van Hollen has announced that they will run for President of the United States in 2028 before Apr 1, 2027, including running for the nomination of any political party to contest that office, then the market resolves to Yes.

All outcomes · Will Chris Van Hollen announce a presidential run?

Will Chris Van Hollen announce a presidential run? — Before Jun 1, 2027

50%

Will Chris Van Hollen announce a presidential run? — Before May 1, 2027

50%

Will Chris Van Hollen announce a presidential run? — Before Jan 1, 2028

48%

Will Chris Van Hollen announce a presidential run? — Before Oct 1, 2027

46%

Will Chris Van Hollen announce a presidential run? — Before Jul 1, 2027

46%

Will Chris Van Hollen announce a presidential run? — Before Mar 1, 2027

24%

Will Chris Van Hollen announce a presidential run? — Before Feb 1, 2027

21%

Will Chris Van Hollen announce a presidential run? — Before Jan 1, 2027

Trade this marketLive prices

Avg probability

33%

probability of YES

Kalshi

33%Check

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Resolution

Apr 1, 2027

Market is open

Market stats

24h volume—

Liquidity—

CategoryElections

StatusOpen