🗳️ Elections

Will Elon register any party before 2027?

Live
Resolves Jan 1, 2027Polymarket
Volume-weighted avg
5%
No
95%
No (95%)Yes (5%)
Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Elections
Vol 24h
$141
Liquidity
$11k

Market intelligence

Polymarket currently prices this at 5%.

About this market

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Elon Musk formally registers a political party in the United States by December 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The registration must be made with a relevant state or federal election authority and reported as such by a consensus of credible media outlets.

Related Markets

Trade this marketLive prices
Avg probability
5%
probability of YES
Polymarket
TGWA
Resolution
Jan 1, 2027
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume$141
Liquidity$11k
CategoryElections
StatusOpen