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🗳️ Elections
Will Flávio Bolsonaro return to Brazil?

Will Flávio Bolsonaro return to Brazil? — Before Jul 1, 2027

Live
Resolves Jul 1, 2027Kalshi
Volume-weighted avg
15%
No
85%
No (85%)Yes (15%)
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Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Elections
Vol 24h
—
Liquidity
—

Market intelligence

Kalshi currently prices this at 15%.

About this market

If, after Issuance and before Jul 1, 2027, Flávio Bolsonaro visits Brazil by physically travelling to and being present within its geographic boundaries, then the market resolves to Yes.

All outcomes · Will Flávio Bolsonaro return to Brazil?

Will Flávio Bolsonaro return to Brazil? — Before Apr 1, 2027
11%
Will Flávio Bolsonaro return to Brazil? — Before Feb 1, 2027
7%
Will Flávio Bolsonaro return to Brazil? — Before Jan 1, 2027
5%
Will Flávio Bolsonaro return to Brazil? — Before Dec 1, 2026
1%
Trade this marketLive prices
Avg probability
15%
probability of YES
Kalshi
15%Check
TGWA
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Resolution
Jul 1, 2027
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume—
Liquidity—
CategoryElections
StatusOpen