🗳️ Elections
Will France declare a state of emergency?

Will France declare a state of emergency? — Before Nov 1, 2026

Live
Resolves Nov 1, 2026Kalshi
Volume-weighted avg
19%
No
81%
No (81%)Yes (19%)
Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Elections
Vol 24h
$7k
Liquidity
$3k

Market intelligence

Kalshi currently prices this at 19%.

About this market

If the French government declares a state of emergency (état d'urgence) after Issuance and before Nov 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

All outcomes · Will France declare a state of emergency?

Trade this marketLive prices
Avg probability
19%
probability of YES
Kalshi
TGWA
Resolution
Nov 1, 2026
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume$7k
Liquidity$3k
CategoryElections
StatusOpen