📊 Macro

Will France pass a national budget by December 31?

Live

Resolves Dec 31, 2026Polymarket

Volume-weighted avg

36%

64%

No (64%)Yes (36%)

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Probability History

Market snapshot

Status

Open

Market intelligence

Polymarket currently prices this at 36%.

About this market

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the French parliament passes a 2027 national budget (Loi de Finances pour 2027) and it is published in the Official Journal of France (Journal Officiel) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM CET (UTC+01:00). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” A qualifying budget must provide funding for the entire year 2027. Special or emergency funding bills will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the French Government, specifically the Official Journal of France (Journal Officiel) (journal-officiel.gouv.fr). However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

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