🗳️ Elections

Will France use Article 49.3 on its 2027 state budget in 2026?

Live

Resolves Jan 1, 2027Kalshi

Volume-weighted avg

55%

45%

No (45%)Yes (55%)

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Probability History

Market snapshot

Status

Open

Market intelligence

Kalshi currently prices this at 55%.

About this market

If France agrees to or announces the use of Article 49.3 of the French Constitution to adopt, without a National Assembly vote, the 2027 state budget bill (projet de loi de finances pour 2027), in whole or in part before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

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