🗳️ Elections
Next French Presidential Election

Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election?

Live
Resolves Apr 30, 2027Polymarket
Volume-weighted avg
2%
No
98%
No (98%)Yes (2%)
Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Elections
Vol 24h
$10k
Liquidity
$219k

Market intelligence

Polymarket currently prices this at 2%.

About this market

The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier. The President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. This market includes any potential second round. If, for any reason, the results of the election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).

All outcomes · Next French Presidential Election

Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?
38%
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?
25%
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election?
13%
Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?
6%
Will François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election?
5%
Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the 2027 French presidential election?
2%
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?
2%
Will Bruno Retailleau win the 2027 French presidential election?
1%
Will Éric Zemmour win the 2027 French presidential election?
1%
Will Sébastien Lecornu win the 2027 French presidential election?
1%
Will Sarah Knafo win the 2027 French presidential election?
1%
Will Dominique de Villepin win the 2027 French presidential election?
1%
Will François Ruffin win the 2027 French presidential election?
0%
Will Olivier Faure win the 2027 French presidential election?
0%
Will Xavier Bertrand win the 2027 French presidential election?
0%
Will Ségolène Royal win the 2027 French presidential election?
0%
Will Karim Bouamrane win the 2027 French presidential election?
0%
Will Marine Tondelier win the 2027 French presidential election?
0%
Will Jean Castex win the 2027 French presidential election?
0%
Will Clémence Guetté win the 2027 French presidential election?
0%
Will Michel Barnier win the 2027 French presidential election?
0%
Will Bernard Cazeneuve win the 2027 French presidential election?
0%
Will François Asselineau win the 2027 French presidential election?
0%
Will Laurent Wauquiez win the 2027 French presidential election?
0%
Will Nicolas Dupont-Aignan win the 2027 French presidential election?
0%
Will Valérie Pécresse win the 2027 French presidential election?
0%
Will Élisabeth Borne win the 2027 French presidential election?
0%
Will Mathilde Panot win the 2027 French presidential election?
0%
Will François Baroin win the 2027 French presidential election?
0%
Will Juan Branco win the 2027 French presidential election?
0%
Trade this marketLive prices
Avg probability
2%
probability of YES
Polymarket
TGWA
Resolution
Apr 30, 2027
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume$10k
Liquidity$219k
CategoryElections
StatusOpen