📊 Macro
Jensen Huang resigned or removed & Nvidia above $4T end of 2026?

Will Jensen Huang's resignation or removal be announced and Nvidia's market cap be above $4T at the end of 2026?

Live
Resolves Jan 1, 2027Polymarket
Volume-weighted avg
57%
No
43%
No (43%)Yes (57%)
Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Macro
Vol 24h
$30k
Liquidity
$10k

Market intelligence

Polymarket currently prices this at 57%.

About this market

This market will resolve according to the combined outcome of (1) whether Jensen Huang’s departure through resignation or removal as CEO of NVIDIA is officially announced by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET and (2) whether Nvidia's public market capitalization at the close of regular trading on the final trading day of 2026 is above $4 trillion. Options beginning "Resigned/removed" require Jensen Huang’s departure through resignation or removal as CEO of NVIDIA to be officially announced by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Options beginning "Not resigned/removed" require no such announcement by that time. Each option then names the result of the second component ("Over $4T" or "Under $4T"), as defined below. The option matching both results will resolve to "Yes", and all other options will resolve to "No". Jensen Huang resignation or removal: The departure will be considered to be announced when Jensen Huang, NVIDIA, or their authorized representatives publicly and definitively announce that Huang has resigned or been removed, or will resign or be removed, as CEO of NVIDIA. Such an announcement will qualify regardless of when the specified person formally leaves the position; resignation includes retiring or stepping down as CEO, including to take another role at NVIDIA, and removal includes dismissal or termination by NVIDIA’s Board of Directors. Only announcements which are framed as announcing a departure through resignation or removal intended to be effective within 18 months of the date of the announcement will qualify (e.g., neither “I will leave office in 2 years,” nor “I will not be in office forever,” would qualify). Announcements of temporary leaves of absence, dated suspensions, indefinite suspensions, administrative leaves, or other temporary changes to the specified person’s duties in the specified position do not qualify. The following do not qualify as public and definitive announcements: statements that the specified person is considering or open to dep

All outcomes · Jensen Huang resigned or removed & Nvidia above $4T end of 2026?

Trade this marketLive prices
Avg probability
57%
probability of YES
Polymarket
TGWA
Resolution
Jan 1, 2027
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume$30k
Liquidity$10k
CategoryMacro
StatusOpen