🗳️ Elections

Will John Thune be elected Senate Republican leader on Nov 10?

Live
Resolves Nov 11, 2026Kalshi
Volume-weighted avg
83%
No
17%
No (17%)Yes (83%)
Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Elections
Vol 24h
$7k
Liquidity
$2k

Market intelligence

Kalshi currently prices this at 83%.

About this market

If the Senate Republican Conference elects John Thune as its leader for the 120th Congress after Issuance and before Nov 11, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

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Trade this marketLive prices
Avg probability
83%
probability of YES
Kalshi
TGWA
Resolution
Nov 11, 2026
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume$7k
Liquidity$2k
CategoryElections
StatusOpen