🗳️ Elections

Will Michigan vote to rewrite the state Constitution?

Live
Resolves Jan 1, 2028Polymarket
Volume-weighted avg
11%
No
89%
No (89%)Yes (11%)
Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Elections
Vol 24h
$13
Liquidity
$9k

Market intelligence

Polymarket currently prices this at 11%. Polymarket has moved up 7pp over the past 7 days.

About this market

Michigan voters are scheduled to vote in the November 3, 2026 midterm elections on a measure which, if passed, would call a state constitutional convention to rewrite the state constitution. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Michigan Constitutional Convention Question passes according to Michigan electoral procedure. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." If the Michigan Constitutional Convention Question is removed from the 2026 midterm election ballot in Michigan, this market will resolve immediately to “No”. If, for any reason, the results of this vote are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No." This market will resolve based on the results of the vote according to a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results reported by the state of Michigan, specifically the Michigan Secretary of State (https://www.michigan.gov/sos).

Related Markets

Trade this marketLive prices
Avg probability
11%
probability of YES
Polymarket
TGWA
Resolution
Jan 1, 2028
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume$13
Liquidity$9k
CategoryElections
StatusOpen