🗳️ Elections

Will Neal Dunn leave Congress before the midterms?

Live
Resolves Nov 3, 2026Kalshi
Volume-weighted avg
5%
No
95%
No (95%)Yes (5%)
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Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Elections
Vol 24h
—
Liquidity
$7k

Market intelligence

Kalshi currently prices this at 5%. Kalshi has moved down 4pp over the past 7 days.

About this market

If Neal Dunn leaves the House before November 3, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

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Trade this marketLive prices
Avg probability
5%
probability of YES
Kalshi
5%Check
TGWA
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Resolution
Nov 3, 2026
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume—
Liquidity$7k
CategoryElections
StatusOpen