🎯 Other

Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027?

Live
Resolves Jan 1, 2027Polymarket
Volume-weighted avg
3%
No
97%
No (97%)Yes (3%)
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Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Other
Vol 24h
—
Liquidity
$60k

Market intelligence

Polymarket currently prices this at 3%.

About this market

This market will resolve to "Yes" if North Korea commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of the South Korea by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be will be official confirmation by South Korea, North Korea, the United Nations, or any permanent member of the UN Security Council, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

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Trade this marketLive prices
Avg probability
3%
probability of YES
Polymarket
3%Check
TGWA
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Resolution
Jan 1, 2027
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume—
Liquidity$60k
CategoryOther
StatusOpen