📊 Macro
2nd Largest Company end of December 2026?
Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
Live
Resolves Jan 1, 2027PolymarketVolume-weighted avg
40%
No
60%
No (60%)Yes (40%)
Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Macro
Vol 24h
$8k
Liquidity
$18k
Market intelligence
Polymarket currently prices this at 40%.
About this market
This market will resolve to the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31, 2026, as of market close. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
All outcomes · 2nd Largest Company end of December 2026?
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
49%
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
11%
Will Microsoft be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
3%
Will SpaceX be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
0%
Will Saudi Aramco be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
0%
Will Tesla be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
0%
Will Amazon be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
0%
Will Broadcom be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
0%
Resolution
Jan 1, 2027
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume$8k
Liquidity$18k
CategoryMacro
StatusOpen