📊 Macro
OpenAI announces bankruptcy by...?

Will OpenAI announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2029?

Live
Resolves Jan 1, 2030Polymarket
Volume-weighted avg
21%
No
79%
No (79%)Yes (21%)
Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Macro
Vol 24h
$13k
Liquidity
$57k

Market intelligence

Polymarket currently prices this at 21%.

About this market

This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI announces that it will file for bankruptcy or has filed for bankruptcy of any variety by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. An announcement will suffice for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of if or when the actual filing occurs. The announcement must be made through any of their official or verified channels, as a recorded or written statement by their CEO, legal representation, or other individual or team which officially represents OpenAI. A definitive consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

All outcomes · OpenAI announces bankruptcy by...?

Trade this marketLive prices
Avg probability
21%
probability of YES
Polymarket
TGWA
Resolution
Jan 1, 2030
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume$13k
Liquidity$57k
CategoryMacro
StatusOpen